Predicting Job Performance; Global Trade in the Great Depression;

April 17, 2012

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Research:

Current pattern of behavior (inside and outside the office) is six times more likely to predict performance than background and job history (Arronson 1998)

Using the job demands-resources model to predict burnout and performance ~ Wiley

Central Banking:

“Monetary policy is already quite loose and the [Chinese] central bank won’t loosen more unless it wants to die” ~ Tsinghua Professor Yuan Gangming

US:

"the Buffett tax would add $793.3 billion to the debt over the next decade," due to changes in the AMT ~ Cato

World:

Global Trade in the Great Depression ~ historysquared

“Between 1929 and 1932 global trade value in current U.S. dollars fell by 50 percent.”

image

Copper supply to increase 8.5% per year through 2014, after a 1.5% rise this year -UBS in WSJ 

Hot money into China correlates with copper, suggest commodity is being used for speculation ~ FT

China:

PBOC study estimated that 18,000 corrupt officials extracted $120 billion in stolen money.

"Macau is just the end of a public-cash pipeline that begins in China."  $WYNN $LVS $FXI  ~ New Yorker

Michael Pettis Makes China Predictions ~ businessinsider

  • Growth will be slow, debt will grow to an unsustainable level, industrial commodities to fall ~ nothing new

Neil Heywood “was poisoned after he threatened to expose a plan by a Chinese leader’s wife to move money abroad.” ~ Reuters

Widening the Yuan trading band will increase attract more traders, increase liquidity ~ WSJ

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